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Climate Change Impact Assessment

Assessing climate vulnerabilities, risks, and adaptation needs for communities, organizations, and projects across Tanzania and East Africa — helping stakeholders build resilience in the face of a changing climate.

Service overview

Understanding Climate Risk to Build a More Resilient Future

East Africa is one of the most climate-vulnerable regions in the world. Rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, increased frequency of droughts and floods, and shifting agricultural seasons are already affecting communities, ecosystems, and economies across Tanzania — and these impacts are projected to intensify.

MRAC conducts rigorous climate change impact assessments that help organizations, governments, NGOs, and investors understand the climate risks facing their projects, programs, and communities — and develop evidence-based adaptation strategies to build long-term resilience.

Our assessments integrate climate science, social science research, and community-based approaches — ensuring findings are both technically credible and practically relevant to local contexts.

Need a climate risk assessment?

Tell us about your sector, project area, and objectives — we’ll design the right climate vulnerability and impact assessment for your needs.

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What’s included

Key Services

Comprehensive climate change assessment services — from vulnerability mapping through to adaptation planning and monitoring.

Climate Vulnerability Assessments

Identifying and mapping climate vulnerabilities of communities, ecosystems, and infrastructure — using both quantitative climate data and qualitative community knowledge.

Climate Risk Analysis

Systematic analysis of current and projected climate risks — including drought, flooding, temperature extremes, and sea-level rise — and their implications for projects and communities.

Adaptation Strategy Development

Developing practical, evidence-based climate adaptation strategies and plans — tailored to the specific context, resources, and priorities of communities and organizations.

Community-Based Adaptation (CBA)

Participatory approaches that place communities at the centre of climate adaptation planning — capturing local knowledge and ensuring adaptation measures are context-appropriate.

Climate Change Policy Analysis

Review and analysis of national and international climate policies, NDCs, and frameworks — and their implications for programs, investments, and organizations in Tanzania.

Climate Assessment Reports

Comprehensive, clearly written climate change impact assessment reports — structured to meet donor, government, and international standards.

Sectors we assess

Climate Impacts Across Key Sectors

Climate change affects every development sector differently. MRAC assesses climate impacts across six priority sectors in Tanzania and East Africa.

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Agriculture & Food Security

Assessing impacts on crop yields, livestock, rainfall patterns, growing seasons, and food security — and identifying climate-smart agricultural adaptation strategies.

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Water Resources

Evaluating climate impacts on water availability, river flows, groundwater recharge, and WASH service delivery — and adaptation options for water-stressed communities.

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Health

Assessing how climate change affects disease burden, malnutrition, heat stress, and health system capacity — and adaptation needs for health programs.

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Communities & Livelihoods

Evaluating climate impacts on community livelihoods, displacement risks, gender dimensions, and the adaptive capacity of vulnerable groups.

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Infrastructure

Assessing climate risks to roads, buildings, energy systems, and other infrastructure — and climate-proofing requirements for new investments.

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Ecosystems & Biodiversity

Evaluating climate change impacts on forests, wetlands, coastal ecosystems, and biodiversity — and nature-based adaptation opportunities.

Why it matters

Tanzania Is on the Climate Frontline

Tanzania ranks among the most climate-vulnerable countries in Africa — with millions of people dependent on rain-fed agriculture and natural resources that are increasingly threatened by climate variability and extreme weather events.

Understanding climate risks is no longer optional — it is essential for responsible project design, investment planning, and sustainable development across all sectors.

Donor ComplianceMany international donors now require climate risk screening and adaptation planning as part of project design and approval.
Investment ProtectionClimate risk assessments protect investments by identifying vulnerabilities before they become costly problems during implementation.
Community ResilienceClimate-informed program design ensures that interventions build long-term community resilience rather than increasing vulnerability.
Policy AlignmentAssessments ensure programs align with Tanzania’s National Adaptation Plan (NAP) and Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs).
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Related Services

Need a Climate Change Impact Assessment?

Tell us about your sector and project area — we’ll design the right climate risk assessment for you.